The way I see it. You fit a blingy krab-machine for highsec lvl4s or incursions. Say it costs 2 bil and you krab at 100 mil/hr. You need 20 hrs for it to pay for itself and then another 20 hrs so that a loss wouldn’t feel disruptive. Cause:
In this talk the guy refers to Kahneman and Tversky’s research that won them 2002 nobel prize in economics.
In normal situation you assess risk of losing your highsec blingy krab-machine to a gank at arbitrary 1-5% and 0-1% to rats. But with highsec turning low it’s suddenly 30-40+% of losing to a camp and to trigs.
Looks like highsec blackout to me. I think people will react exactly the same - stop logging in.
Of course, it’ll depend on how common and widespread those high-low transformations will be.