In case of “Eve will die” situation. Or CCP. Soon. Or not
So, I was a little bit concern about Plex prices. Then about CCP wallet. Then I saw: dead Eve. And then its not. Then I realised, that I wrote a little bit too much to just drop.
Lets start at the begining: at the moment a new guy will stay at alpha status, try to grind for a plex and eventually log off. No income from him for CCP. Couple of years ago a new guy will buy couple of plexes for rl money and try to grind his way up to the plex. its just a part of carebear gameplay. It is always a big part of new player experience - to get plex by yourself. And at the moment its unimaginable for a lot of people how to get plex in first month for a new player. Sure, they can play as an alpha for some time, but grind will be devastating. As omega they will grind for years too. And even vets occasionally play as alpha, and its totally unhealthy.
So, for me it was clear, that CCP must try to lower the isk price of a plex, and shut down an alpha status thing. All this “drop plex price thing”, you know it, when you see it. But it also means, that most of the new players will drop from the game. They will rose up from the chairs, than sit back and type in gaming forums, that Eve is suck. So, less players to come. Its already a significant drop in online value. There will be no new players buying plex. Only salty vets on eve forums. Who have stucks of plexes.
So there must be drop in demand of plex, the price must go down, right? But it looks like everything is fine. Plex prices are rising, somebody is buying the things. Who? I guess, its the guys, who stack plexes for years. By their effort of buying the thing, they are producing fake demand by buying PLEXes and then putting them back in market for higher price.
I would like to tell something about building a tower by taking blocks from its basement. Tell about Plex holders buried by prices collapse. But its plex prices, not a tower. Plex holders may “feed” from their stacks, easily surviving any price collapses. For years. But in case of tower collapse situation its totally possible, that a lot of players around will find, that its a way more easy to buy plexes from markets, instead of buying it from CCP. So, it must be CCP here under the collapsed tower.
But most probably, CCP will be fine. Even in the dearest of the collapses, there will be a “midclass” player – he just got into the game, he buys plexes from CCP directly. He thinks that he will be shot at Jita, cause he is gallente. And he doesn’t know, that PLEX exists. I guess, it was always about 8-10k players, who pays for plex regulary, everyone else: money[plex]bags, whiney “poor” noobs, active teen pvpers – they are all is just a furniture for the merry space mining game, which Eve is actually is.