That’s the whole crux of the issue. Pedro pointed out correctly, that there aren’t direct comparisons possible between the different time series graphs on EVE Offline, despite attempts by other posters to do so. The data has different frequency and the longer term graphs work on the max value in a series and discard the rest. The more recent ones pull data live and don’t discard any of it, or cache data and discard less of it because the time periods are different. So averages are not comparable.
You then came along and called his post rubbish.
Now you are going on about modelling like that was ever part of the issue.
You are more than a Charlatan. You are just flat out a liar. There is no way that you are a Professor anywhere but in your basement.
Yes and you can see it when you check EVE Offline. It isn’t hard to do and anyone that normally works with data should be able to easily do it.
But hey, it’s not like you are someone that does actually work with data normally. It’s clear from your posts that you haven’t even bothered to validate anything you are writing.
I dont understand anything really… what you guys still talking about? its wayy so obvious now that… and visible to aye… CCP bleed alot … No need for these complicated calculations … its visible with naked aye… please stop looking at mess at 30 mt away with a telescope …
Nobody is doing ARIMA forecasting, so it has no place in this discussion. If you want to do the forecast and share the results, have at; until then, spouting off about ‘this type of modeling can be used to compare these time periods’ is meaningless as the conversation is about data as presented on a specific site that is not modeling anything.
This is funny. At the beginning, a lot of people said CCP’s changing is not good idea, but they insist to do that. Now They found it fked up active player number and want to change it back. But! As an AFKed player, I still will not come back:) GJ CCP
Lol really ARIMA forecasting has no place to see if the current falling PCU is outside of the confidence intervals based on historical patterns? Where you get that idea from?
That’s not what I said. I said, you have no place talking about ARIMA forecasting showing a difference if you are not sharing the data model and its results. Either show your work and its output, or stop talking about it.
If you think ARIMA forecasting will show trends that prove PCU is falling beyond reasonable seasonal shift and impacts of COVID restrictions lifts, by all means, run the data model and show us. Regardless, please stop kvetching at people who are pointing out the idiocy of using Chribba’s data incorrectly. Chribba’s charts do not show what players are claiming, because the data sets in those charts are not consistent across the different charts.
Lol it would take a week to format the data run and model correctly and test all assumptions. If CCP were to pay my usual rate of 100 USD per hour for consulting then maybe. And at least you can read this is correct method regardless what the model actually shows
That seems insanely low, especially for a Professor. That’s “life coach” level rates. Is it a back water, South Dakota community college* or something?
* No disrespect intended to any actual back water, South Dakota community college professors. I’m sure they are fine people and worth what they charge for consulting work
For someone who keeps complaining about others not reading, you have done a lot of accusing folks of statements they did not make. I’m not sure if English is a second (or more) language or you just feel like playing the ‘I am so misunderstood’ card, but literally nobody said ARIMA modeling was a bad approach. In fact, everyone you keep randomly arguing with agreed with you that the lack of valid data modeling makes comparing the data in thr EVE Offline format meaningless, and that proper modeling would be required to make any valid assessments.
Lol those are university rates… means u contract the university… the prof gets paid usually 100 USD per hours after tax. It’s ok I don’t expect u understand that…
Yes, they are the fully loaded consulting rates. Do you then just consult at USD $100 per hour for your own work?
That is stupid. So you’re saying that for a senior professional, you have your rate + costs (eg. public liability insurance, software costs, hardware costs, tax) + margin and you only charge USD $100 per hour.
No senior professional would charge that low.
Whether you would expect me to understand or not is irrelevant. I do understand consulting and you aren’t doing it.
Why just lie? It’s pointless and every post in this thread makes you look like you have no clue, while trying to represent yourself as being an authority.
I want to see your “grandiose” proposal.
But I should say that I’m not 100% on the side of making anything in Eve less dangerous, in fact I would say that I might be more like 99% in favor of lifting a lot of restrictions, simplifying the rules of war and combat in general, and adding AI’s to NPC’s that learn from each player they encounter and adapt to them over time on an individual basis. I think maybe making instalock instakill Trig gate camps might have gone a bit overboard, but they still added a lot to traveling in general.
Highsec is simply too safe, I had to join faction warfare to make half of it more interesting (that and the Amarr have it coming).
This is exactly right, I got really lucky early on and met people who I fully trust and adore. I don’t know how many other people have made friendships of this quality but I do know that no mater how much CCP or more specifically Mr. “They can quit if they don’t like it” piss me off those friends are going to keep me in this game till @CCP_Rattati gets an ulcer because he can’t get rid of me. Obviously I love Eve for what it is, even if it’s changed over the years, but add to that people on five continent who I don’t really feel like living without being in it and that’s something that leads to player retention.
I’m one of the one out of two hundred then, and I told them exactly why and what it would take for me to come back. It’s nice to be the minority in this case, not only do I give a damm I’m not afraid or indifferent enough to not say “I think what you are doing sucks and here’s what I’m doing about it.”.
I don’t think those are the only reason it’s broken. In a democracy voters cannot replicate themselves endlessly, in Eve they can so the voting comes down to who has or can generate the most alts.
There is nothing democratic about that. Yes there is voting, but the votes are, in many cases, bought and paid for.
When I discovered that I could vote five times because I have five accounts I was sort of stunned and I didn’t do it, I voted once on general principal because I’m one person, not five.
I have no idea how to fix that ingame other than by payment source, but it’s not democratic in any way that I would consider democracy.
And yes, that undermines faith pretty hard.
Mike is still good though. Keep him, the lawyer is shark bait.
