You’re right that renting agreements are a risk and that changes shouldn’t push small groups into renting structures instead of letting them claim their own part of space.
But to rent, the landlords need to be able to defend the rented lands. And to defend rented lands, landlords need force projection.
So I think the current nerfs to ansiblexes are a good direction to both nerf the size of the amount of regions blocs can hold as well as their ability to have renters.
Null sec would be attractive already to settle in by small groups, if only the large alliances weren’t already there.
So I do not think the game needs to make ‘null sec more attractive’. Instead, the game needs two things:
- discourage large alliances from sprawling
- fewer incentives to join the largest blocs
So my suggestion to have less sprawl of large blocs and smaller bloc sizes, and space for smaller groups in null sec is twofold:
- reduce force projection
- reduce the ability to build tall
This combination makes it less convenient for blocs like Winterco, Imperium or Initiative to be the size they are, reduces incentives to grow and adds reasons as well as space for players to start new groups elsewhere in null as well.
After all, bloc size is a balance between factors.
Bloc-increasing factors are things like:
- N+1 beats N
- safety in numbers
- cooperation allows players to use their toys, their (super)capital assets in PvP and PvE
- less effort from line members needed to protect space
Bloc-constraining factors are things like:
- the limit on how many mining and ratting resources are available
- the CEQ limit for capital ratting
- boredom by not enough enemies and content within range
So while there are consistent reasons to still join a large bloc anyway, the bloc itself is sustained by the amount of resources it can claim and defend.
If the amount of resources in range is reduced and the amount of practical range is also reduced through force projection nerfs, this means it becomes far less profitable and less encouraged to have groups the size they are now.
Reduced income and fights over resources like mining sites, ratting sites, CEQs may make those groups spread out and take more space, but with force projection nerfs those outer regions do become far more vulnerable to attacks. Yet if they stay the same size, profits and content are reduced for the members, decreasing the incentive for small groups and new players to join those large groups and thus increasing the incentive to start their own separate groups elsewhere.
While such changes would obviously cause some pain to those large groups, this is a way to encourage players to form smaller separate groups spread out instead of joining the large blocs.
And many small groups would gladly claim a part of null sec space if large groups withdrew further.
Building tall, as you suggest, allows large groups to withdraw further, but also allows the large groups to still grow in numbers and become safer while they do so as they now get access to more resources within jump range of their defence fleets, which allows them to recruit even more people who could have joined small groups instead. I think ‘building tall’ is the opposite of what would help encourage small groups to form.
TL;DR: to make null attractive for small groups, the game needs to hurt the big groups more for being too big.