Looking at the wrong thing really. There’s a much bigger pattern in terms of people seeking to complement turnover from small to medium level sp farms by means of ice mining. There’s regional differences, obviously, but the geo-economical and demographical curves are quite subject to change. Something to only increase should general demographics go up again after the summer (which, caveat, is not a given).
Ice is one of those things which functions as a benchmark of isk buffering patterns. As it is, I can see Ice developing a clear downwards price curve.
And if CCP should decide for moons to also yield ice, well, good luck 
The fun thing is that people believe that there’s such a thing as magic markets, while this is nothing but derived human behaviour, only in part choice based in relation to cognitive
though. Keep in mind that Ice as a market is becoming a playground for station traders who can no longer meet the budgetary demands of plex manipulation, following the inability to do so with the ore markets as there exists a duality in supply.