Yeah, the risk/reward calculus is rather crap for most players. For a slight increase in risk you go to NS and get much larger rewards…or for a significant reduction in risk you go to HS, for a lower reward.
People are generally fairly decent at determining risk-reward. They do tend to screw up with extreme events/outliers mainly they get the bajeebers scared out of them my idiot journalists who focus exclusively on such extreme/outlier events. In this latter case people totally over-estimate their risk. For example, stranger danger and kids is complete and total Bravo Sierra when looked at from a relative risk stand point. If you are petrified of a stranger abducting your child you should absolutely never drive them anywhere in an automobile. The vast majority of child abductions, like over 99%, are from friends of the family and other family members. So perversely many people are literally “looking the wrong way” as danger approaches. But that aside people often do alright. This is why things like air-bags do not have the initial effect in terms of safety. People think, “Oh…I was fine with the previous level of risk, and now I have airbags…so I can drive faster.” And presto! The initial claim in improved safety does not materialize. Now, if we really wanted improved safety we’d install Tullock airbags.
So, maybe Tullock is on to something here. We sure as hell wouldn’t be texting and driving if there was a big-ass dagger pointed at our sternums while we drove.
A Tullock airbag will most definitely improve driver safety…just not in a very comforting way.
This is all well and good. But the thing is local is still too powerful to be left alone even if everything your write is true and correct. People who actively hunting stand very little chance of imposing risk on ratters, miners, etc. with local. It isn’t the case of making a slight error–i.e. looking away for a few seconds as you grab your coffee cup. To catch a ratter/miner now that player really, really, really, really has to feck up so bad that he literally deserves to die. [At this point I expect Mike to start spewing nonsense…given that he has never hunted before and absolutely refuses to do so his comments should be heavily discounted.]
Local combined with intel channels make players in NS who are ratting, mining, etc. extremely safe. Now some might say, “That’s fine this takes effort.” But not really local by itself is the single most important factor in this and it costs no effort. You anchor nothing. You get it automatically. It is never wrong. It provides nearly complete intel as well in terms of safet (is the intruder, blue or not).