I recorded blob response times in my past 200 ESS heists in Excel.
The average response time for a massive standing fleet blob is 4 minutes and 21 seconds, with the fastest tackles (Huginns) arriving slightly earlier with an average of 3 minutes and 44 seconds.
No one can solo a blob.
The current setup is a 100mn Celestis with three t2 sensor damps (I’ve been using this for over a year).
The problem is that getaway boats like the Celestis are easily rebuked by PvE ratting ships in 1v1. A ratting ishtar is sufficient to ward off a celestis.
The other problem is that you can’t bring a combat ship to force a PvE nullbear to reship, because they will inform the blob if you’re in anything that can dent their purples (although sometimes I reship into a brick dual web Sacrilege for 200-300 mill ESS’s that are being defended by one ratting ishtar, but it requires me to use an alt to create a diversion at another faraway ESS).
Simply put, if you try to PvP in an ESS, you’ll get blobbed, leaving the Celestis as the only option to escape the inevitable Huginn that precedes the blob.
Only once (in my Sacrilege) did I ever get a 1v1 fight in an ESS, and that was over fourteen months ago (more than a year), and it was with a pirate who was fighting me for the ESS, not the null bear. Sacrilege | Saladinae | Killmail | zKillboard
I’ve performed no less than 10,000 heists by now and acquired more than 650 billion in bonds total across all my characters. So I have a metric ton of experience concerning this topic.
From this experience I’ve come the following conclusion: The timer is too damn long. There would be more small gang PvP in the ESS’es if the timer was reduced to 4 minutes and 30 seconds, based on the average blob defense response time. Even the pirates in Serpentis space will rarely follow me to an ESS unless they know fountain blob is deployed elsewhere.
By the way, these response times were all recorded in systems that were all greater than (or equal to ) three jumps from the nearest sovereign controlled jump bridge network.
And if numbers and statistics and Excel doesn’t resonate with you, consider this: I’ve been robbing banks for the last fifteen months, acquired hundreds of a billions of ISK, and only had ONE solo PvP engagement—which means the ESS content is not working as originally intended—because the TIMER IS TOO DAMN LONG.
If you’ve never done a heist before, give a shot in a cheap ship, and you’ll quickly realize that the current duration feels like a lifetime. If your eyes even slip once during this heist, you’ll find yourself webbed by a Huginn, shortly followed by the Kitchen Sink.