Moving cargo in or across low sec has its own challenges. After reading this post you’ll have a detailed picture of the low sec hauling market using completed contract tallies from various hauler groups (and the public queue) going back to the beginning of 2023. This should establish a “before” picture of the state of low sec hauling pre-Viridian, and we can revisit this in summer 2023 to see what’s changed. All of this is being provided to everyone since one of GHSOL’s three main principles has always been transparency.
While blockade runners are the cheapest and relatively safe in low sec, the limited cargohold makes this unsuitable for sizeable loads. Deep space transports with bigger cargoholds are no longer viable due to techniques gankers use at gate camps in low sec to catch them.
This leaves us with jump freighters with two ways of getting your cargo moved: the public queue and courier services like Black Frog, PushX and Galactic Hauling Solutions Inc (GHSOL). Completed contracts during 2023 (up to May 31st) with a low sec starting system and/or a low sec destination with a cargo size greater than 62500 m3 is the constraints for this apple to apple comparison:
Black Frog : 982 (Red/Black Frog Busy, 20% null sec, verified by BFL)
PushX: 1306 (info leaked, null sec/deleted contracts purged before count)
GHSOL: 1424 + 1061 (verifiable via alt in corp and galmil.fun by anyone)
Public: ~400 (years of stored contract info, 62500+ m3 with 150M+ reward)
The surprising conclusions in the above numbers is there’s only 1000 low sec JF sized contract being created every month. I say this because clearly the market has shrunk from many many years ago when I hauled for Black Frog and PushX where monthly counts for low sec JF loads were around 800 and 450 respectively at what was the highs. I’ll leave it to others to speculate why.
The other surprising conclusion is how few low sec JF loads are being put in the public contract queue. A new JF pilot wanting to start a courier service would need to have at least 50 contracts to be viable business. But the monthly average is only around 80?! More evidence that CCP needs to rework the contract creation mechanism at soooo many levels.
On a personal level, I was surprised that GHSOL’s market share has grown over the years to be 48%. For every 2 loads going to/from low sec, GHSOL moves one of them with our low rates and super fast delivery times. Unless I’ve missed some numbers, GHSOL became the market leaders in last year when it comes to low sec JF hauling.
Everything is going to change with Viridian. Black Frog understands and has been quite transparent with their numbers so you, me and everyone can evidently see the changes. Sadly, PushX not so much, but clearly I’ve managed to get their numbers anyways. PushX was given the opportunity to voluntarily provide numbers and verify, but declined. Keep this lack of transparency in mind next time you choose a low sec courier service (and give EVE Hauling Advisor a try).
For those who’d like to delve into numbers (including further back than 2023), I’m more than happy to dig in and satisfy your curiosity. But I won’t be the one expanding this analysis to include high sec nor null sec. It’s worth mentioning that null sec alliance haulers have to move their cargo all the way across low sec every day, and often to Jita. While this is easily the most economical way of moving cargo, I’ve not included these numbers mainly because of the small number of routes that are served by each one.
Finally, if you do have different numbers (preferably by at least 50 to 100), let’s talk in game in channel GHSOL. There’s alot of constraint I’ve used to keep the scope of this analysis smaller, and I do want to understand what constraints your numbers have so we can do apples to apples comparison and I can make any needed corrections or additions.
ps - Every time I see Viridian, all I can think of is Veridian Dynamics so comment below if you can’t unsee this inadvertent Better Off Ted tie in. What…like Dr Who was more appropriate?!