First of all, thank you for your research. It is pleasant to the eyes to see people trying to make something out of our current puzzle.
While the report does not seek to provide explanations for the outcomes, a little food for thought.
Reports from the IGS seem to indicate that if left to themselves, ENDECOM+Faction Navies tend to get victories against the Triglavians.
A variable unnacounted for is Capsuleer interference.
If victories seem to be in favour of ENDECOM, than for Triglavians to win requires that they need Capsuleer support in bigger numbers than the Status Quo.
- Are Caldari capsuleers more inclined to favour the Triglavians?
- Are the Gallente capsuleers helping the Triglavians to hinder Caldari defense efforts?
- Does the cluster just want to screw Caldari?
Same reasoning may apply to the Amarr results.
- Is the Amarr fanclub more numerous/efficient at organizing?
- Are the Minmatar occupied with their own stuff or not cooperative to the Triglavians?
- Does the cluster want to help the Amarr?
Disregarding the reasons for Capsuleers to do what they are doing, one thing that appear to be congruent is CONCORD and ENDECOM frustration with Capsuleers interference. If It weren’t for you meddling kids, we would’ve dealt with it, they may be thinking.
There have been questions about why they do not simply cut the capsuleer little wings and punish them, and at the same time questions as to why they do not grant permission for capsuleer capital support at the battlefield, and the questions raised above may help understand their reasoning, at least of what is within their power to implement, for they are not almighty and we have less and less strings every year that passes.
Keep up the good work and good data coming.