This is technically correct. The best kind of correct. I believe I voiced my thoughts on that appropriately with the string of expletives in the preceding message.
You mean if the Midular government had not been terminated by a vote-of-no-confidence? I might be slightly biased, but I can not envision a world in which that would not have occurred. In large part because your people kept pushing to see to what degree the Midular administration was willing to roll over. I believe that was a deliberate attempt by your ruler to destabilize the regime, as it essentially reduced the options available to the Midular administration to standing their ground and risking open war, or opting for appeasement and in doing so erode the people’s support for the administration. They chose the latter and the people, expectedly, did not tolerate it. Today’s balance of power is a direct consequence of whichever entity within the Amarrian power structure thought that was a good course to pursue.