Right now, in Perimeter, 500 PLEX are worth around 1.7 billion ISK.
I know that, because I went buying a few. I need ISK to fund some stuff in the near future.
I usually don’t use PLEX as an investment, (come to think of it, I don’t invest in games at all)
but it’s just too good of an opportunity to pass up.
I thought I share my reasoning with you.
Pretty straight forward:
Either the game’s going to crash and burn, with all your ISK going poof eventually,
or the game is going to do better, which means PLEX are definitely going back up again.
The chance of things getting better is there,
the alternative means you’re losing everything eventually anyway.
EVE Vegas marks the next spot of significance in this regard.
When CCP delivers, the price of PLEX will go up pretty much at the presentation already (customers showing convidence, smart traders buying up to resell after the presented feature(s) go(es) live, etc).
When CCP fails, then the price of PLEX will drop further, either until CCP finally delivers something, or until the game dies a horrible death. Either way it goes you can’t actually lose, because it’s either up or it’s gone eventually …
… with eventually probably being shorter than you expect. The more customers leave, the less customers will be willing to stay due to there being less people to play with, be friends with, be entertained with. “My friends are leaving” is a huge problem for this game. One guy deciding to leave can cost the game a whole group of people (and their alts, too).
I’ve read too many thoughts and feelings about peoples’ future decisions in this regard. I am absolutely convinced that failure of delivery means a loss of yet another big batch of customers. “Everyone’s” waiting for EVE Vegas right now. CCP knows that, which means that betting on PLEX going up makes perfect sense.
I know it’s pretty binary, but there really isn’t much of a shade there.
CCP really has to deliver something people will like.
When you know your ISK is going poof anyway, then you might as well bet on survival.
Feel free to send me 10% of your profits as a sign of appreciation. : - )
You have been warned …
… and you’re welcome.