What I posted was: “Look, a significant number of people have this opinion. Maybe we should look into this”. I provided four examples.
You want me to go into details on how the “era of chaos” may boost short term income for CCP while damaging long term income? OK. That may shed a light on our apparent diametral unterstanding of EVE. People tend to have differing world views due to differing playstyles but I can’t stretch my imagination so far to see “meet the revenue target” as an overly complicated explanation of recent events in terms of occams razor. Why do I even have to spell it out for you?
Long term income: Lot’s of people in null sec are pissed off by deprecation of casual gameplay (blackout/cynos), permanent crisis mode (chaos), sudden lack of mid and long term planning ability (chaos again) and brutal changes to mechanics that could have been introduced with more thought and care. They are slowly leaving. This is counterbalanced by resubscribing hunters and newcomers attracted by the fuss. Of the newcomers, only a small fraction will stay. It has always been this way and CCP has not been nearly radical enough to change this (which is probably a good thing). The predator/prey dynamics are well known and the forums suggest that even the predators are currently not in the best mood. This suggests a very bad outlook on long term income. Of course this is a matter of debate and viewpoint but you cannot simply dismiss this as being on the level of 9/11 truther - flat earth talk.
Short term income: We can safely assume that management wants to meet revenue targets for the bonus so everything they do should be inspected closely. Unfortunately this is about how they think the game works and not how it really behaves. Let me give it a try: Assuming that the cutoff date for revenue targets is near and that most people have opted for long term plans, cancelled subscriptions should mostly hit revenue after the cutoff date. Now we have lot’s of hunters and some extra newbies making new subscriptions due to the blackout. As earning money in nullsec has become much more difficult but nullsec entities are reluctant to change, some nullsec players will buy PLEX with RL money (price has fallen drastically - does anybody know whether demand or supply changed?). The cyno change necessitates retraining and creating a ton of cyno alts and I heard the time frame for this is tight. This may again boost PLEX sales by CCP.