As I’m sure most of you know. You can run Guristas Hideaway and Refuges and sometimes they will escalate into a “Scout Outpost”
Now these are great to farm because of the potential for a Pithum C-Type Invulnerability (Currently around 400m)
So I was curious just how often these sites escalated into a Scout Outpost and how often a SO dropped a P-CType.
SO I MADE SPREADSHEETS!!!
For the last few days I’ve had an alt running around doing Hideaways, Refuges and Dens as often as I could find them and recording if they escalated or of a Dread Guristas dropped.
Every time I ran a site I would either mark “YES” or “NO” for a Scout Outpost or Dread Guristas and then divided it into the total number ran to get a percentage.
I threw out any sites that became contested by other people running them after I started as to not contaminate the data.
So first some raw numbers.
Refuges run 150
Escalations 10 (% 6.67)
Dreads (10) (%6.67)
Longest run with out escalation (42)
Hideaways Run 103
escalations 6 (5.83%)
Dreads 9 (8.74%)
Longest Run with out escalation (44)
I would like to note that with the Hideaways the last 44 have not escalated for me, I think the RNG gods are not happy with me. I was actually getting over 10% on the hideaways until that long streak of nothing there at the end.
Now as the the Scout Outposts.
Of the 16 there were 10 in High Sec and 6 in Low Sec.
Of the 10 in HS 2 dropped the C - Type
Of the 10 in HS 4 only had officer effects and nothing else.
Of the 10 in HS 4 has Effects and something else other than the C - Type.
I’m still in the process of running enough Dens for it to be a meaningful amount of data.
Currently I’m only at 41 Dens with 5 escalations (and I think that’s a high percentage [15.15%] )
So there you have it. Near 7% escalation from Refuges and 6% from Hideaways.
Now one thing I didn’t track and I regret not doing it is system security. I don’t know if a .7 system has a better chance of an escalation vs a .8 system
In fact I’d love it if any of the Devs could answer that question!!