I can’t see players running down ships with combat probes. At the end of the day, you’re either ganking them (not a lot of blingy ships running these) or hoping that either you or they go suspect so you can get an engagement out of it. I’ve had a grand total of one failed gank attempt on me in over a year of running events (in that one they just warped to the beacon).
I nailed a Gnosis that went suspect and he didn’t even realize that I didn’t have a point on him until after he exploded (I guess his tactics had been working well for him up until that point). Not entirely sure how he thought he was going to best a Leshak - but I admire his determination. Also saw a Venture take on a Paladin (the Venture went suspect) which ended about as fast as you think it would.